NFL: Top Trends for NFL Week 1



NFL: Top Trends for NFL Week 1




We’re ready to kick off another exciting season in the National Football League, and here are a few of the top trends and latest analysis for the Week 1 games. All odds are courtesy of Sportsbook.com. Visit the LIVE ODDS, BETTING TRENDS and TEAM STATISTI

2009-09-09

We’re ready to kick off another exciting season in the National Football League, and here are a few of the top trends and latest analysis for the Week 1 games. All odds are courtesy of Sportsbook.com. Visit the LIVE ODDS, BETTING TRENDS and TEAM STATISTICS pages all weekend long for the rest of the key handicapping info.

Tennessee (+5) at Pittsburgh – Thursday 8:30 pm ET

Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between the teams
Pittsburgh is 24-8 as a home favorite between 3.5-10 points
Tennessee is 8-0 ATS in their last eight September games

This is a tough task for Tennessee as defending Super Bowl champions are 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS in the last five Thursday opening nights. Everyone is waiting for quarterback Kerry Collins to morph back into the younger, more skittish version of himself, but he should be fine as long as he remains a ‘game manager.’

Pittsburgh doesn’t have any glaring weaknesses and their ‘strength of schedule’ is one of the easiest in the NFL. Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger is the Teflon Man once again. He seems completely unaffected by his recent injury scare and his sexual assault case.

Philadelphia (-1) at Carolina – Sunday 1 pm EST

Philadelphia is 1-7-1 ATS as a road favorite between .5-3 points
Carolina was 5-2-1 ATS at home in the regular season last year
Under is 12-4 in Carolina’s last 16 home games

Philly has moved from one-point underdogs to one-point ‘chalk’ even though they were 0-4 ATS in the preseason. Donovan McNabb will lead the offense for the first two games without the help of Mike Vick and the ‘Wildcat.’ The defense must prove it can win without coordinator Jim Johnson.

Carolina was 8-0 SU at home in the regular season last year, but all anyone remembers is the home playoff loss to Arizona. The Panthers were 0-4 both straight-up and ATS in the preseason and now have running back Jonathan Stewart and linebacker Jon Beason questionable for this game.

Washington (+6.5) at NY Giants – Sunday 4:15 pm EST

New York is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between the teams
New York was 12-4 ATS in the regular season last year
Washington is 2-7-2 ATS in their last 11 games

Washington is predicted to be bottom-dwellers in the NFC East, but don’t fall asleep on this team. Quarterback Jason Campbell is looking much more comfortable in Coach Jim Zorn’s offense and the defense was already Top 5 before adding Albert Haynesworth. Zorn better hope it all comes together or he’ll be back in Seattle working at Starbucks.

New York has all the pieces in place for another Super Bowl run except number one receiver. There is plenty of talent at the position, but someone has to assume the role of jailed Plaxico Burress. If the Giants struggle early on, the pressure will mount on Eli Manning, especially with his new mammoth contract.

Chicago (+3.5) at Green Bay – Sunday 8:20 pm EST

Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings between the teams
Green Bay is 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games
Chicago is 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games

Chicago quarterback Jay Cutler has been all that was advertised so far, but his current group of receivers can’t compare with those on Denver last year. Cutler actually had a better quarterback rating on the road last year (89.3) than at home (83.2), and he’ll need to play great in this tough Lambeau matchup.

Quarterback Aaron Rodgers and the first team offense looked great when they played in the preseason. Can you say Brett Favre who? While that has Packers fans suddenly confident heading into Sunday night, the real key is how fast the defense responds to Dom Capers’ multiple-look 3-4 scheme.

Buffalo (+10.5) at New England – Monday 7 pm EST

New England is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings between the teams
New England is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games
Buffalo is 4-0 ATS in their last four Week 1 games

Buffalo is having its share of drama already, but its surprisingly not coming from wide receiver Terrell Owens. Offensive coordinator, Turk Schonert has been fired this preseason after an anemic showing for the first team offense. However, Coach Dick Jauron says the Bills will stick with the no-huddle offense.

New England continues its purge of veteran defensive players. The latest to go is Richard Seymour who was traded to Oakland for a 2011 number one pick. Coach Bill Belichick feels he can win with his revamped defense, but the QB position is thinner than an old Kate Moss photo with the un-drafted Brian Hoyer the only backup.

Other Week 1 Odds

Sunday

Miami (+4) at Atlanta – 1 pm EST
Denver (+4) at Cincinnati – 1 pm EST
Minnesota (-4) at Cleveland – 1 pm EST
Jacksonville (+7) at Indianapolis – 1 pm EST
Detroit (+13) at New Orleans – 1 pm EST
Dallas (-5.5) at Tampa Bay – 1 pm EST
Kansas City (+10.5) at Baltimore – 1 pm EST
NY Jets (+4.5) at Houston – 1 pm EST
San Francisco (+6.5) at Arizona – 4:15 pm EST
St. Louis (+7.5) at Seattle – 4:15 pm EST

San Diego (-9) at Oakland – Monday 10:15 pm ET

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