NFL: Sunday Late Afternoon NFL Kickoffs (4:05 PM ET, FOX & CBS)



NFL: Sunday Late Afternoon NFL Kickoffs (4:05 PM ET, FOX & CBS)




Of the four late afternoon games in the NFL, ALL are important in some way or another to the playoff chases in each conference.

2008-10-10

Of the four late afternoon games in the NFL, ALL are important in some way or another to the playoff chases in each conference. Of course, when you’re betting, the only games that mean more are the ones you have wagering tickets on. With that thought in mind, here’s is a look at each of the four games to choose from with kickoffs in the 4 o’clock hour.

(219) JACKSONVILLE at (220) DENVER (-3, 48.5)
Jacksonville will be looking to win in Denver for the second straight season, while the Broncos will be looking to finish off a home game for its backers for the first time in ’08. Despite being 3-0 thus far at Invesco Field, Denver has yet to beat a Vegas pointspread, failing to cover minor numbers of -1.5, -4.5, and -3.5. For those who have seen Mike Shanahan’s team go just 5-15 ATS in their L20 home games, the results shouldn’t come as a surprise. Still, they find themselves 4-1 after five weeks and in control of the AFC West Division. Jacksonville heads into its open date after this game and is 3-0 SU & ATS in its L3 in that scenario, including the 23-14 ’07 win in Denver. Overall in this head-to-head series, the underdog is on a 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS run.
* StatFox Forecaster says Jacksonville 28, Denver 26

(221) PHILADELPHIA (-5, 42.5) at (222) SAN FRANCISCO
Two teams whose playoff aspirations have begun slipping away in the last couple of weeks will try to revive those hopes this Sunday when they go head-to-head. Both Philadelphia and San Francisco have lost back-to-back games after 2-1 starts. The Eagles will be looking to extend a 23-10 SU & 18-14 ATS record as a road favorite. Incidentally, the favorite is also 6-2 ATS in the L8 games between these teams. The last four have gone OVER the total. The 49ers will be looking for a first win against a NFC East team under Mike Nolan. They are 0-6 SU & 1-5 ATS versus that division in 3+ seasons. Not all angles are in Philadelphia’s favor however, as HC Andy Reid’s team is just 1-7 SU & 1-6-1 ATS in games prior to their bye week, which comes after this contest.
* StatFox Prediction: 49ers cover

(223) DALLAS (-4.5, 50.5) at (224) ARIZONA
As former divisional rivals, the Dallas-Arizona rivalry became a heated one, as Cowboys’ fans regularly made the trip to Phoenix to secure an unofficial 9th home game each season. Now, with Cardinals’ fans’ support growing with a 3-2 start, they’ll welcome 4-1 Dallas back to town. HC Ken Whisenhunt’s team is establishing a definite home field advantage for the first time in years, having gone 8-2 SU & 7-3 ATS in his year-plus with the club. The latest win was a 41-17 thrashing of previously unbeaten Buffalo, meaning they’ve poured in 34.7 PPG in their last seven as hosts. Dallas is 0-3 ATS at home, but 2-0 ATS on the road. As road chalk of 3.5-7 points, the Cowboys are 13-4 ATS in their L17 chances. They are also on a 10-3 ATS run vs. Arizona overall.
* StatFox Power Rating Line says Dallas by 2

(225) GREEN BAY at (226) SEATTLE (-2, 46.5)
Three straight losses have QB Aaron Rodgers and the Packers reeling, and they’ll need to turn it around in Seattle, a place they haven’t won at since ’96. To be fair, Green Bay has only played in Seattle once since that time, losing to former coach Mike Holmgren 34-24 in ’06. Still, it’s unfamiliar territory for Rodgers, who has struggled since the 2-0 start in replacing Brett Favre. Holmgren’s team dropped to 7-27 ATS in October under his watch with the ugly 44-6 defeat at New York last week. They are allowing 31 PPG defensively and five of their L7 opponents have topped the 30-point mark. Including Green Bay’s 42-20 playoff win of last January, the OVER is 4-1 in the L5 meetings of these teams. Green Bay is 13-5 ATS on the road under Mike McCarthy.
* StatFox Outplay Factor Rating says Green Bay by 6

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